Modelado de la futura penetración de Vehículos Eléctricos para realizar estudios de eléctricos y ambientales para Costa Rica

The increasing integration of electric vehicles (EVs) in the electric potential energy system raises the need to estimate the future market of these in the electrical networks and with it, to be able to establish scenarios of analysis that can help to study the loadability, flows of power, stability, and others. For this reason, the following research proposes a model of prediction of future markets of electrical vehicles in the electrical national system (SEN) in each of the bars of the electrical network and subsequently it will be able to shape conditions of the network before a high penetration of VEs calculated from a methodology with applied mathematics. The methodology will consider technical variables like the growth of the electrical demand, socioeconomic variables as traffic growth, and others like the economic ones as indexes to the consumer, GDP, inflation among others. There is no doubt that this type of inputs will be vital for the planners of the SEN, economists and others. Therefore, we propose a hybrid model of Markov-MonteCarlo for the prediction of future markets of electrical vehicles in front of an increasing market in development.

Energías limpias (convencionales y no convencionales)
Matemática aplicada